It’s been a while since we’ve checked in with Nate Silver (above), the best political numbers cruncher in the business. The unveiling of his presidential forecast model gives us good reason to pay him a VISIT:
The first look at the 2012 FiveThirtyEight presidential forecast has Barack Obama as a very slight favorite to win re-election. But his advantage equates to only a two-point lead in the national popular vote, and the edge could easily swing to Mitt Romney on the basis of further bad economic news.
Mr. Obama remains slightly ahead of Mr. Romney in most national polls, ...